OPEC upgrades oil demand forecasts on expectation of
380 million new cars on China's roads by 2035 and says world needs to invest
nearly $8 trillion on new energy facilities.Petrol prices are unlikely to fall significantly
anytime soon based on the latest long-term projections for the global oil
market released by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec).
The group of 12 major producing nations estimates
that meeting increases in world oil demand through to 2035 will require $7.5
trillion (£4.6 trillion) worth of investment into building new infrastructure
such as production plants, refineries and pipelines.
Opec, which accounts for a third of the world’s oil
supply, says it will now have to pump 2.6 million barrels a day (b/d) more
crude than it had originally anticipated by 2035, bringing its total long-term
production estimate to 37 million b/d.
Opec said that total world oil demand will grow by
20 million b/d to 108 million b/d by 2035, which is an upward revision on it
previous forecast. Total global demand for energy will increase by 52pc over
the same period, according to the report.
The upgrades in long-term oil demand presented in
Opec’s 2013 World Oil Outlook – the first since the group started publishing
its forecasts - are largely being driven by rapid economic growth from Asia.
Car ownership in China and emerging Asian economies
is cited by Opec as a major factor behind its new outlook for world oil demand.
The number of passenger cars in China is expected to increase by 380 million
vehicles by 2035, which is equal to 320 cars per 1,000 people in the country.

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